Padres vs Nationals Predictions, Best Bets, and Picks
The San Diego Padres take on the Washington Nationals in tonight’s game at Nationals Park. This post delivers WAGERBIRD’s data-smart MLB prediction, betting insight, and sharp picks before the 6:45 PM ET first pitch.
Game Prediction
SD
WSH
Pre-game wagerbirds










The rest are waiting in the terminal.
Betting Overview
Teams: San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Friday, July 18, 2025 · 6:45 PM ET
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Padres around −168, Nationals approx. +150
- Run Line: Padres −1.5, Nationals +1.5
- Total (O/U): 8.5 runs
Preview of Padres vs Nationals Prediction
- Probable Starters:
- Padres: Dylan Cease — recently struck out 224 batters, 4.88 ERA over 103.1 IP
- Nationals: MacKenzie Gore — All-Star, 3.96 ERA, 535 Ks on the season
- Team Form & Trends:
- Padres are 29–20 as ML favorites (~59% win rate)
- Recent head-to-head: Padres won June and August 2024 matchups, Nationals won May 2025
- Injury Updates:
- Padres: C.J. Abrams scratched, SP Joe Musgrove out for season, Sean Reynolds tabbed to start
- Nationals: No major changes; Gore remains healthy
This clash features two strong arms. Cease brings strikeout upside but inconsistency; Gore boasts elite K numbers but the Nats' lineup lacks depth. Expect a pitcher’s duel with modest offense, leaning slightly toward San Diego’s stronger batting.
Padres vs Nationals Predictions
Here are the WAGERBIRD Terminal picks for this matchup, based on algorithmic modeling and confidence scoring:
Free Pick
- First Five Innings SD Team Total: U 2.5 (Confidence: 61)
Gated Picks (Terminal Access Required)
- Full Game Game Total (Confidence: 68)
- Full Game Run Line (Confidence: 64)
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FAQs
What chance do the Padres have of beating the Nationals?
WAGERBIRD's model gives San Diego ~60% win probability against Washington with current pitching and lineup trends.
How have the Padres fared as favorites recently?
They’ve gone 29–20 as moneyline favorites this season (~59% win rate) and 11–6 when listed at −168 or shorter (~65%).
Who is favored in tonight’s game?
The Padres are the clear favorites, backed by stronger recent performance and deeper batting.
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