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Yankees vs Marlins Predictions, Best Bets, and Picks

The New York Yankees travel to Miami’s loanDepot Park tonight to take on the Marlins. This preview delivers the latest betting odds, matchup context, WAGERBIRD’s free AI pick, and algorithm-based confidence ratings for top bets.

Game Prediction

New York Yankees

New York Yankees

NYY

VS
Aug 1
Starts at
7:10 pm
loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins

MIA

Aug 1
Starts at
7:10 pm
loanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Pre-game wagerbirds

Full game
First Five Innings NYY Team Total: U 2.5
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77
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Full Game NYY Team Total
Confidence Rating:
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77
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Full Game Game Total
Confidence Rating:
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64
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Full Game Run Line
Confidence Rating:
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80
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Confidence Rating:
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Confidence Rating:
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Confidence Rating:
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Confidence Rating:
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Betting Overview

  • Teams: New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date / Time: Friday, August 1, 2025 • 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees −173, Marlins +144
  • Run Line: Yankees −1.5 (−105), Marlins +1.5 (−115)
  • Total (O/U): 8.0 runs (Over −121, Under +100)

Preview of Yankees vs Marlins Prediction

The Yankees enter this series riding momentum—they’ve won four of their last five and sit at 60–49, with solid form across their lineup and rotation. Despite the loss of ace Gerrit Cole to Tommy John surgery, the recent trade deadline haul—including closer reinforcements and position players like Amed Rosario and Ryan McMahon—has fortified their roster. Left-hander Carlos Rodón is tapped to start tonight and brings All-Star-caliber experience and control to the mound at 11–7 with a sub‑4.00 ERA in 2025.

Miami counters with right-hander Janson Junk, a former Yankees draft pick with excellent command and a 3.28 ERA this season—but limited strikeout upside and recent roster losses like Jesús Sánchez have trimmed their offensive depth. The Marlins have shown flashes, winning seven of their last ten, but their 52‑55 record reflects inconsistency and limited run production against top arms.

Without Aaron Judge in the lineup—out with a forearm strain—the Yankees have leaned on Cody Bellinger and newly traded Jazz Chisholm Jr. to deliver late-game impact, while Miami lacks the depth to match offensively against left-handed pitching.

Predictions

Here are the WAGERBIRD Terminal picks for this game, algorithmically generated with confidence scoring:

Free Pick

  • First Five Innings NYY Team Total: U 2.5 — Confidence: 77

Gated Picks (Terminal Access Required)

  • Full Game NYY Team Total: Confidence: 77
  • Full Game Game Total: Confidence: 64
  • Full Game Run Line: Confidence: 80

**Unlock the full model, MLB picks , and confidence ratings in the WAGERBIRD Terminal.

FAQs

What chance do the Yankees have of beating the Marlins?

At −173 odds the implied win probability is roughly 63 %, aligning with market expectations and matchup modeling.

How many times have the Yankees beaten Miami this season?

Over recent head‑to‑head matchups, New York holds a slight edge historically. While exact 2025 season H2H numbers aren't fully detailed, past series have favored the Yankees in most cases.

Who is favored to win Yankees vs Marlins?

The Yankees are clear favorites across the board: favored on moneyline (−173), run line, and projected implied win rates.

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