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Reds vs Phillies Predictions, Best Bets, and Picks

The Cincinnati Reds face the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday, July 5, 2025, at Citizens Bank Park. This National League matchup features two teams with playoff aspirations. Our analysis provides predictions, best bets, and picks for this game.

Game Prediction

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds

CIN

VS
Jul 5
Starts at
4:05 pm
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

Jul 5
Starts at
4:05 pm
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Pre-game wagerbirds

Full game
Full Game Run Line: CIN +1.5
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61
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Full Game Game Total
Confidence Rating:
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First Five Innings Game Total
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First Five Innings PHI Team Total
Confidence Rating:
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Betting Overview

  • Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Moneyline: Phillies -176, Reds +146
    Note: Odds are subject to change; please check with your sportsbook for the latest lines.

Preview of Reds vs Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies enter this game with a 51-37 record, while the Cincinnati Reds stand at 46-42. The Phillies have been strong at home, boasting a 28-16 record at Citizens Bank Park. Their offense is led by Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, who have been consistent run producers. On the mound, Ranger Suárez is expected to start, bringing a solid 3.60 ERA into the game.

The Reds, meanwhile, have been competitive on the road with a 23-19 record. Nick Lodolo is slated to start for Cincinnati, aiming to contain the Phillies' potent lineup. However, the Reds are dealing with several injuries, including key pitchers like Brandon Williamson and Graham Ashcraft, which could impact their bullpen depth.

Reds vs Phillies Predictions

Here are the WAGERBIRD Terminal picks for this matchup, based on algorithmic modeling and confidence scoring.

Free Pick

  • Pick Type: Full Game Run Line: CIN +1.5
  • Confidence: 61

Gated Picks (Terminal Access Required)

  • Pick Type: Full Game Game Total
    • Confidence: 73
  • Pick Type: First Five Innings Game Total
    • Confidence: 61
  • Pick Type: First Five Innings PHI Team Total
    • Confidence: 67

*Access the full MLB pick set in the WAGERBIRD Terminal.

FAQs

What chance do the Cincinnati Reds have of beating the Philadelphia Phillies?

Based on current form and statistical analysis, the Phillies have a favorable chance of winning this matchup, especially considering the Reds' recent injuries and the Phillies' strong home record.

How many times have the Cincinnati Reds beaten the Philadelphia Phillies?

Historically, the Reds and Phillies have had a competitive series. Exact head-to-head records can be found on MLB's official website.

Who is favored to win the Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies game?

The Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win, with moneyline odds at -176, indicating bookmakers' confidence in their chances.

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