Mercury vs Lynx Predictions, Best Bets, and Picks
Phoenix Mercury face Minnesota Lynx in a high-stakes WNBA showdown today at 1:00pm ET. This WAGERBIRD preview dives into algorithm-driven picks, including a high-confidence over bet on the total, full odds breakdown, player news, and expert analysis to guide your wagers.
Game Prediction
PHX
MIN
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Betting Overview
Teams: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx
Date & Time: Wednesday, July 16, 2025 — shortly underway
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis
Betting Odds
While live odds are shifting, recent lines from July 9 showed Minnesota favored: moneyline around -290, spread -6.5, and total near 160.5. Expect similar ranges tonight.
Preview of Mercury vs Lynx Prediction
- Minnesota Lynx sit near the top of the standings (19‑4), boast the league’s best home record, elite defense (holding opponents to ~75 PPG), and are powered by Napheesa Collier (≈24 PPG, 7.7 RPG) and All-Star guard Kayla McBride. Their bench depth—Hiedeman, Shepard, Miller—gives them a championship-caliber edge.
- Phoenix Mercury have surged under defensive-minded coaching, ranking top‑two in turnover rate and defensive rating, with seasoned leaders Alyssa Thomas (near triple‑double averages) and Satou Sabally (≈19 PPG) fueling a 14‑6 start. Thomas is questionable with a calf issue.
- Injury watch: Minnesota: healthy and dominant; Phoenix: Alyssa Thomas questionable, Kahleah Copper returning from injury.
- Key storyline: Pace-driven Phoenix vs lockdown defense of Lynx—a classic clash between speed and suppression.
Mercury vs Lynx Predictions
Here are the WAGERBIRD Terminal picks for this matchup, based on algorithmic modeling and confidence scoring.
Free Pick
1st Half Game Total: U 79.5 – Confidence: 37
Gated Picks (Terminal Access Required)
- Full Game MIN Team Total - Confidence: 66
- Full Game Game Total - Confidence: 62
**Get full matchup analytics, WNBA Picks, live model tracking, and real-time updates in the WAGERBIRD Terminal.
FAQs
What chance does Phoenix have of beating Minnesota?
Based on current odds, Phoenix holds roughly a 26% implied chance on the moneyline, with higher upside if Thomas suits up.
How many times have the Mercury beaten the Lynx this season?
Phoenix earned one win so far—74‑71 on May 30—while Minnesota leads the season series 2–1.
Who is favored tonight?
Minnesota remains the clear favorite: strong home advantage, depth, and defensive dominance put them ahead.
Explore More Predictions Like Mercury vs Lynx
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