Liberty vs Wings Predictions, Best Bets, and Picks
The New York Liberty visit the Dallas Wings tonight in a key WNBA matchup at College Park Center. WAGERBIRD delivers algorithmic insights, betting analysis, and high-confidence picks before tip-off.
Game Prediction
NYL
DAL
Pre-game wagerbirds
The rest are waiting in the terminal.
Betting Overview
Teams: New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings
Date/Time: Monday, July 28, 2025 · 8:00 PM ET
Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Betting Odds
- Moneyline:
- Liberty -355 favored
- Wings +295 underdogs
- Point Spread:
- Liberty up –7.5 to –8.5 depending on book
- Total (O/U):
- Around 172–174 range for this matchup, with Over frequently hitting
Preview of Liberty vs Wings Prediction
- Team Form & Key Updates:
- Liberty (16–6) enter on a strong run—solid shooting and dominant home and road efficiency. However, they will be without star forward Breanna Stewart due to a leg injury sustained in their previous game.
- Wings (7–17) are undermanned with injuries to Maddy Siegrist and Tyasha Harris, but Paige Bueckers is expected to return tonight and can impact both scoring and playmaking.
- Historical & Statistical Trends:
- The Liberty have obliterated Dallas head-to-head, including covering spreads and pushing totals well over 172 in prior matchups. In 2024, Over hit in 6 of 8 meetings at least, and NY dominated Dallas performance-wise in points allowed and turnovers.
- Dallas’ defense ranks near the bottom, allowing around 90+ points per game, while New York’s defense is among the best at ~76 PPG.
Expect New York to control pace and spacing even without Stewart; Dallas may struggle to keep pace unless Bueckers has a breakout night.
Liberty vs Wings Predictions
Here are the WAGERBIRD Terminal picks for this matchup, based on model outputs and confidence:
Free Pick
- Full Game Game Total: Under 172 points - Confidence: 65
Gated Picks (Terminal Access Required)
- Full Game Liberty Team Total — Confidence: 84
- First Half Game Total — Confidence: 85
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FAQs
What chance do the Liberty have of winning tonight?
Even without Breanna Stewart, New York remains the heavy 85–90% favorite on moneyline. Their roster depth and elite defense translate to estimated win probability in that same range.
How have the Liberty performed against the Wings recently?
The Liberty dominated past meetings: won both matchups in 2024 and hit the Over in every game, frequently covering large spreads—often 9 to 14 points.
Who is the favorite in this game?
New York is a massive favorite across the board, with lines typically around –9 to –14 and implied moneyline probability near 86%.
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